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Aboseif, E and Hanna, A S (2024) Benchmarking of construction projects performance for comparative assessment and performance improvement: a statistical quantitative approach. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2829-51.
Al-Hadidi, S, Sweis, G, Abu-Khader, W, Abu-Rumman, G and Sweis, R (2024) Managing future urbanization growth patterns using genetic algorithm modeling. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2648-68.
Delgado-Hernández, D J and Palacios-Navarro, U J (2024) A Bayesian network for selecting improvement management tools to increase customer satisfaction in the construction industry: case study of Mexico. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2900-15.
Gibson, G E, El Asmar, M, Yussef, A and Ramsey, D (2024) A novel approach for measuring the accuracy of front end engineering design. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2669-96.
Guo, J, Xiang, P, Liu, Q and Luo, Y (2024) Transportation infrastructure network optimisation based on computer simulation using Sichuan Province, China as an example. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2740-69.
Khan, S, Panuwatwanich, K and Usanavasin, S (2024) Integrating building information modeling with augmented reality: application and empirical assessment in building facility management. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2809-28.
Khanapure, V U and Shastri, S S (2024) A sustainable–lean implementation methodology: a catalyst for sustainability enhancement of high-rise residential projects. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2585-603.
Kum, Y T, Yap, J B H, Lew, Y L and Lee, W P (2024) Transforming construction health and safety management during COVID-19 pandemic using innovative technologies: PLS-SEM approach. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2770-808.
Lad, V H, Patel, D A, Chauhan, K A and Patel, K A (2024) Prioritisation of bridge for improving its resilience using multi-criteria decision-making techniques. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2952-76.
Li, T, Li, Z and Cai, J (2024) Antecedents and consequence of intra-organizational diffusion of prefabricated construction technology: a contingency theory perspective. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2932-51.
Li, X, Chang, C T, Zhu, Y Y and Li, L L (2024) Key influence factors on the evacuation route selection for fire emergencies in urban underground complexes. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2630-47.
Lin, Q, Zhang, C, Cai, H, Li, X and Xiao, H (2024) Urban night lighting evaluation system and case study: blending popular contemporary elements, cultural traditions and advanced lighting technologies. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2916-31.
Lu, Y, Liu, J and Yu, W (2024) Social risk analysis for mega construction projects based on structural equation model and Bayesian network: a risk evolution perspective. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2604-29.
- Type: Journal Article
- Keywords: Bayesian network; mega construction projects; social risk analysis; social risk evolution; structural equation model
- ISBN/ISSN:
- URL: https://doi.org/10.1108/ECAM-04-2022-0319
- Abstract:
Purpose: Mega construction projects (MCPs), which play an important role in the economy, society and environment of a country, have developed rapidly in recent years. However, due to frequent social conflicts caused by the negative social impact of MCPs, social risk control has become a major challenge. Exploring the relationship between social risk factors and social risk from the perspective of risk evolution and identifying key factors contribute to social risk control; but few studies have paid enough attention to this. Therefore, this study aims to systematically analyze the impact of social risk factors on social risk based on a social risk evolution path. Design/methodology/approach: This study proposed a social risk evolution path for MCPs explaining how social risk occurs and develops with the impact of social risk factors. To further analyze the impact quantitatively, a social risk analysis model combining structural equation model (SEM) with Bayesian network (BN) was developed. SEM was used to verify the relationship in the social risk evolution path. BN was applied to identify key social risk factors and predict the probabilities of social risk, quantitatively. The feasibility of the proposed model was verified by the case of water conservancy projects. Findings: The results show that negative impact on residents’ living standards, public opinion advantage and emergency management ability were key social risk factors through sensitivity analysis. Then, scenario analysis simulated the risk probability results with the impact of different states of these key factors to obtain management strategies. Originality/value: This study creatively proposes a social risk evolution path describing the dynamic interaction of the social risk and first applies the hybrid SEM–BN method in the social risk analysis for MCPs to explore effective risk control strategies. This study can facilitate the understanding of social risk from the perspective of risk evolution and provide decision-making support for the government coping with social risk in the implementation of MCPs. © 2023, Emerald Publishing Limited.
Masood, R, Roy, K, González, V A, Lim, J B P and Nasir, A R (2024) A supply chain perspective of prefabricated housebuilding diffusion in New Zealand. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2697-720.
Tennakoon, G A, Rameezdeen, R and Chileshe, N (2024) Walking the talk towards sustainable consumption: interventions to promote the uptake of reprocessed construction materials. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2878-99.
Wang, Z, Shi, L and Cui, H (2024) Effects of the host-country institutional environment on the operation mode change of international construction enterprises. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2721-39.
Xie, L L, Chen, Y, Wu, S, Chang, R D and Han, Y (2024) Knowledge extraction for solving resource-constrained project scheduling problem through decision tree. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2852-77.
Zhou, X, Wang, Y, Zhang, Y and Liu, F (2024) Macro investigation on China's engineering insurance industry: based on industrial organization theories. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 31(07), 2977-94.