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Basheer, M, Elnour, Z, Siddig, K and Grethe, H (2025) Economic impacts of large dams on downstream brickmaking in developing countries. Construction Management and Economics, 43(03), 213–25.
- Type: Journal Article
- Keywords: Traditional fired clay brick; economywide modeling; river sediment; floodplains; Nile River;
- ISBN/ISSN: 0144-6193
- URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/01446193.2024.2411409
- Abstract:
Large dams have positive and negative impacts, including disrupting brickmaking on the floodplains downstream due to flow regulation and sediment reduction, affecting the supply of essential construction material, notably in developing countries. In this study, we introduce an analytical framework to assess the economywide effects of large dams on downstream brickmaking, focusing on Traditional Fired Clay Brick (TFCB). The framework includes three steps: characterizing the impacts on river flow and sediment load using river system modeling and secondary data, understanding the role of TFCB production in the economy based on survey and economic data, and quantifying the economywide impacts of changes in TFCB production using dynamic computable general equilibrium modeling. We demonstrate the functionality of the approach by conducting a case study of the impacts of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on the Sudanese economy due to changes in TFCB production by comparing two scenarios: “with GERD” and “no GERD.” Results show that Sudan’s accumulated (2023–2050) discounted (at 0.5% annually) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at factor cost would decline by US$ 6 billion (−0.38%) due to a reduction in TFCB production. Consumer flexibility regarding brick types and the ability of alternative brick sources to fill the demand gap are key determinants of the impacts.
Brager, G, Zhang, H and Arens, E (2015) Evolving opportunities for providing thermal comfort. Building Research & Information, 43(03), 274-87.
Castelblanco, G, Fenoaltea, E M, De Marco, A and Chiaia, B (2025) Influence of macroeconomic factors on construction costs: an analysis of project cases. Construction Management and Economics, 43(03), 196–212.
de Dear, R, Kim, J, Candido, C and Deuble, M (2015) Adaptive thermal comfort in Australian school classrooms. Building Research & Information, 43(03), 383-98.
Farnham, C, Emura, K and Mizuno, T (2015) Evaluation of cooling effects: outdoor water mist fan. Building Research & Information, 43(03), 334-45.
Gao, Y, Gan, Y, Chen, Y and Chen, Y (2025) Application of large language models to intelligently analyze long construction contract texts. Construction Management and Economics, 43(03), 226–42.
Gauthier, S and Shipworth, D (2015) Behavioural responses to cold thermal discomfort. Building Research & Information, 43(03), 355-70.
Hellwig, R T (2015) Perceived control in indoor environments: a conceptual approach. Building Research & Information, 43(03), 302-15.
Mavrogianni, A, Taylor, J, Davies, M, Thoua, C and Kolm-Murray, J (2015) Urban social housing resilience to excess summer heat. Building Research & Information, 43(03), 316-33.
Parkinson, T and de Dear, R (2015) Thermal pleasure in built environments: physiology of alliesthesia. Building Research & Information, 43(03), 288-301.
Teli, D, James, P A B and Jentsch, M F (2015) Investigating the principal adaptive comfort relationships for young children. Building Research & Information, 43(03), 371-82.
Verhaart, J, Veselý, M and Zeiler, W (2015) Personal heating: effectiveness and energy use. Building Research & Information, 43(03), 346-54.
Wang, J, Li, M, Moorhead, M and Skitmore, M (2025) Forecasting financial distress in listed Chinese construction firms: leveraging ensemble learning and non-financial variables. Construction Management and Economics, 43(03), 175–95.